Thursday, April 14, 2016

2016 Baseball Predictions

Here are my bold predictions for this baseball season.

2016 Predictions

American League

East


Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles*
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Redsox
New York Yankees

Central

Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals*
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox

West

Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Playoffs

Kansas City over Baltimore

Houston over Kansas City
Cleveland over Tampa Bay

Cleveland over Houston

Cy Young Award: Chris Sale,CHI
MVP: Mike Trout, LAA
Rookie of the Year: Curt Casali, TB
Batting Champ: Miguel Cabrera, DET


National League

East

Washington Nationals
New York Mets*
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves

Central

Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals*
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers

West

San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Trolley Dodgers
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies

Playoffs

New York over St. Louis

San Francisco over New York
Pittsburgh over Washington

Pittsburgh over San Francisco

Cy Young: Clayton Kershaw, LA
MVP: Paul Goldschmidt, ARI
Rookie of the Year: Kenta Maeda, LA
Batting Champ: Paul Goldschmidt, ARI

World Series

Pittsburgh over Cleveland in 7

MVP: Andrew McCutchen

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

2015 Baseball Predictions

Here are my bold predictions for this baseball season.

2015 Predictions

American League

East

Baltimore Orioles - Buck seems to find a way. Pitching and defense.
Toronto Blue Jays - The Jays should make a push if pitching holds up.
Boston Redsox - Pitching won't hold up over the long haul.
Tampa Bay Rays - This team is built for 2016 or 2017.
New York Yankees - This team is too old, injury prone, and short on SP.

Central

Kansas City Royals - Even better than last season.  More offense.
Detroit Tigers* - Starting pitching depth will be a problem but they can hit.
Cleveland Indians - Francona keeps them close.
Chicago White Sox - A lot of good moves but they don't all pan out.
Minnesota Twins - Still struggling in the rebuild.


West

Seattle Mariners - I'll buy into this team.
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim* - I'm not counting them out.
Oakland Athletics - Watch out in 2016, but always competitive.


Houston Astros - Could be .500 and still in 4th place.
Texas Rangers - They are in trouble.

Playoffs:

Detroit over Los Angeles

Detroit over Seattle
Kansas City over Baltimore

Detroit over Kansas City

Cy Young Award: Chris Sale,CHI
MVP: Mike Trout, LAA
Rookie of the Year: Mookie Betts, BOS
Batting Champ: Miguel Cabrera, DET


National League

East

Washington Nationals - Starting rotation is stacked.

New York Mets* - Good young team but not good enough over Nats.
Miami Marlins -  Could make playoffs this year, will do it next year.
Atlanta Braves - Rebuilding for the new stadium.
Philadelphia Phillies - Rebuilding, if you can call it that.

Central

Pittsburgh Pirates - The pieces seem to be in place.
St. Louis Cardinals* - They always seem to win but not this division.
Cincinnati Reds - Not enough pitching to overtake Pitt or SL.
Chicago Cubs - Young teams usually fade down the stretch.
Milwaukee Brewers - Braun is still over-rated and so is this team.


West

Los Angeles Trolley Dodgers - Maybe you can buy the division.
San Francisco Giants - It's an even year, they make the playoffs.
San Diego Padres - Much better but not a playoff team.
Colorado Rockies - The health of Cargo and Tulo makes or breaks the team.
Arizona Diamondbacks - This team is rebuilding.

Playoffs

St. Louis over New York

Washington over Los Angeles
Pittsburgh over St. Louis

Washington over Pittsburgh

Cy Young: Johnny Cueto, CIN
MVP: Andrew McCutchen, PIT
Rookie of the Year: Joc Pederson, LA
Batting Champ: Troy Tulowitzki, COL

World Series

Detroit over Washington in 7

MVP: Miguel Cabrera

Friday, January 30, 2015

Top Time Travel Movies I've Watched

I've ranked the best and worst time travel movies I've watched.

  1. Back to the Future
  2. Terminator 2
  3. Terminator
  4. Groundhog Day
  5. Star Trek (2009)
  6. Bill & Ted's Excellent Adventure
  7. Frequency
  8. Back to the Future III
  9. Donnie Darko
  10. Safety Not Guaranteed
  11. Army of Darkness
  12. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
  13. Midnight in Paris
  14. Terminator 3
  15. Austin Powers the Spy Who Shagged Me
  16.  Back to the Future II
  17. The Flight of the Navigator
  18. Hot Tub Time Machine
  19. The Time Traveler's Wife
  20. Deja Vu
  21. Bill & Ted's Bonus Journey
  22. Click
  23. Time After Time
  24. Timecop
  25. Kate & Leopold

Friday, March 28, 2014

My 2014 Tigers Preview and Breakdown Position by Position


I fear the worst for our Tigers.

Did you see Cabrera’s new contract.  It’s the death of the Tigers.  We better win it all in the next 2 years because it’s going to be downhill after that.  We’ll have over $50MM a year wrapped up in aging players Cabrera and JV.

I’m not optimistic about the Tigers this year.  I think Brad Ausmus will be a good coach but I think the off-season moves make us really thin and we’ve already been hit by the injury bug.  I think KC will finally pass up the Tigers this year and we’ll land in a wildcard spot at best.  We’re relying on too many unproven players.  Here’s my breakdown.


The differences 2013 to 2014

Rotation:
Verlander – expect a better season, +3 wins
Scherzer-tough to repeat Cy Young, -3 wins
Sanchez-same as last year, +/-0
Porcello-expect an improvement, +2 wins
Fister to Smyly-it’s not realistic to expect Smyly to be as good as Fister was (14-9), -3 wins

Total: -1 win, and the rotation is our strength



Bullpen:
Benoit to Nathan – No matter what anyone says, this isn’t an improvement at closer, Benoit was 4-1 with 24 saves and 2 blown, Nathan was 6-2 with 43 saves and 3 blown, +/-0
Smyly/Veras to Chamberlain/Krol – There’s no replacement for Smyly in the bullpen and that may prove to be big. -3 wins
Albequrque/Coke-Same as last year, +/-0
Putkonen/Reed-same as last year,+/-0
Rondon/Bonderman/Valverde to Ortega/others – As good as Rondon was down the stretch, the others were bad, we’ll break even here with Rondon gone, +/-0

Total:  -3 wins, could be better if someone emerges, but could be worse if Nathan shows his age.



Lineup:
1B/3B Cabrera-expect the same, but improves the defense +1 win
RF Hunter- expect the same +/-0
CF Jackson-some likely improvement +2 wins
LF Dirks/Tuiasopo/Kelly to Davis/Dirks/Kelly-Davis’ defense and speed will be a little improvement but Dirks is out so not much will change, +/-0
C Avila-hard not to improve but Pena actually hit well as the backup and that's asking a lot from the new guy Holaday, +1 win
2B Infante to Kinsler-hard to improve when Infante hit .318 with an .800 ops but I’ll buy in for +1 win
SS Peralta/Iglesias to Romine/Gonzalez/Iglesias-shortstop will cost us big this year -3 wins
3B/1B Fielder to Castellanos-At best Castellanos could have an .819 ops and win rookie of the year and that would be an even swap, -5 wins
DH Martinez-hope for the best, similar but not too much older, -1 win

Total:  -4 wins, this may be optimistic based on the injuries to Dirks, Iglesias plus you can’t completely count on Jackson and Avila to improve.



Grand Total: -8 wins for the Tigers.  That puts the Tigers at 85-77 which is maybe a wildcard team but not a division winner.  Take out the improvements from Avila and Jackson and include any more injuries and our lack of depth and it’s an 81-81 season.

Monday, March 24, 2014

2014 Baseball Predictions

Here are my bold predictions for this baseball season.

2014 Predictions

American League

East

Tampa Bay Rays - This team is good and ready for a World Series run.
Boston Redsox* - They have too many holes, especially SS and CF.
New York Yankees - I still don't like this team.  Tanaka who?
Baltimore Orioles - Division is too tough for them and Davis won't perform like that again.
Toronto Blue Jays - I don't know which direction this team is headed.

Central

Kansas City Royals - Under-performed last season.
Detroit Tigers* - Don't like the off-season moves, starting pitching depth may be a problem.
Cleveland Indians - Francona can't pull it off again this year.
Minnesota Twins - Much improved from last year.
Chicago White Sox - This team is not good.

West

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim - I'm not counting them out.
Oakland Athletics - Not enough quality starting pitchers.
Texas Rangers - Choo is not the answer.
Seattle Mariners - Big off-season, like Toronto 2013.
Houston Astros - They will be better than people think.

Playoffs:

Detroit over Boston

Detroit over Tampa Bay
Kansas City over Los Angeles

Detroit over Kansas City

Cy Young Award: James Shields, KC
MVP: Mike Trout, LAA
Rookie of the Year: Mashiro Tanaka, NY
Batting Champ: Miguel Cabrera, DET


National League

East

Washington Nationals - Starting rotation is stacked.
Atlanta Braves - Too many injuries.
New York Mets - Good young team but not good enough.
Philadelphia Phillies - If age equaled wins, they'd win it all.
Miami Marlins - Getting better.

Central

St. Louis Cardinals - They always seem to win.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Didn't make any moves this off-season.
Cincinnati Reds - This team is getting worse each year.
Milwaukee Brewers - Braun is over-rated.
Chicago Cubs - Maybe next year.

West

Los Angeles Trolley Dodgers - Rotation is too good to lose.
San Francisco Giants* - It's an even year, they make the playoffs.
Arizona Diamondbacks* - They will battle in this division.
San Diego Padres - The division is too loaded for them.
Colorado Rockies - No leadoff hitter or CF. Why did they trade Fowler?

Playoffs

San Francisco over Arizona

Washington over San Francisco
Los Angeles over St. Louis

Washington over Los Angeles

Cy Young: Matt Cain, SF
MVP: Paul Goldschmidt, ARI
Rookie of the Year: Chris Owings, ARI
Batting Champ: Andrew McCuthcen, PIT

World Series

Detroit over Washington in 7

MVP: Miguel Cabrera

Wednesday, April 3, 2013

2013 Baseball Predictions

Once again, here are my bold predictions for this baseball season.

2013 Predictions

American League

East

Toronto Blue Jays - I think the moves will pay off.
Tampa Bay Rays* - I don't think their moves will pay off.
Baltimore Orioles - Division is too tough to repeat.
Boston Redsox - Ellsbury will rebound but I don't like the pitching.
New York Yankees - I don't like this team, personally or professionally.

Central

Detroit Tigers - Starting pitching depth may be a problem.
Kansas City Royals* - Good young team and now with pitching.
Cleveland Indians - This team is on the rise.
Chicago Whitesox - This team is falling.
Minnesota Twins - This team still has problems.

West

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim - Good pitching and better offense.
Seattle Mariners - Slowly getting better.
Oakland Athletics - Still young and still good.
Texas Rangers -I think the glory days are over.
Houston Astros - They will be better than people think.

Playoffs:

Kansas City over Tampa Bay

Detroit over Toronto
Kansas City over Los Angeles

Detroit over Kansas City

Cy Young Award: James Shields, KC
MVP: Miguel Cabrera, DET
Rookie of the Year: Dylan Bundy, BAL
Batting Champ: Joe Mauer, MIN


National League

East

Washington Nationals - This team is the best in baseball.
Atlanta Braves* - This team is second best in the NL.
Philadelphia Phillies - This team is getting old, fast.
New York Mets - Good young team but not good enough.
Miami Marlins - Another rebuilding but won't be that bad.

Central

Cincinnati Reds - Joey Votto is the real deal.
Milwaukee Brewers - This team is pretty good but could be better.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Better pitching, better hitting=more wins.
St. Louis Cardinals - They always seem to win but not this year.
Chicago Cubs - Maybe next year.

West

Arizona Diamondbacks - Great pitching and coaching.
Los Angeles Trolley Dodgers* - Can't buy the division.
San Francisco Giants - It's 2011 all over again.
San Diego Padres - I don't know what to make of this team.
Colorado Rockies - A good offense. It stops there.

Playoffs

Atlanta over Los Angeles

Washington over Atlanta
Cincinnati over Arizona

Cincinnati over Washington

Cy Young: Clayton Kershaw, LA
MVP: Joey Votto,CIN
Rookie of the Year: Ryu, LA
Batting Champ: Joey Votto, CIN

World Series

Detroit over Cincinnati in 7

MVP: Miguel Cabrera